This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Milwaukee Admirals and Rockford IceHogs scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST. Markets across platforms are betting on the outcome of this regular-season matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Milwaukee win or Rockford win) are mapped to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This makes the market unresolvable and suggests a drafting error. Polymarket uses standard mutually exclusive binary logic.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification or amendment. The market as written cannot be settled fairly. Use Polymarket as your primary reference, which has coherent binary resolution logic and explicit cancellation handling.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Dual Yes-resolution structure creates logical impossibility. Both Milwaukee Admirals win and Rockford IceHogs win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Milwaukee Admirals wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes. If Rockford Icehogs wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes.' No path to No resolution exists.
Polymarket:
Standard binary outcome structure with mutually exclusive resolution. Milwaukee Admirals win resolves to Milwaukee Admirals; Rockford IceHogs win resolves to Rockford IceHogs. Includes postponement and cancellation contingencies. Quote: 'If Milwaukee Admirals win, the market will resolve to Milwaukee Admirals. If Rockford IceHogs win, the market will resolve to Rockford IceHogs. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.