TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Manitoba Moose
Volume:
$2,434
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Milwaukee Admirals and Manitoba Moose scheduled for March 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure divergence: Kalshi uses binary YES resolution for both outcomes, while Polymarket uses categorical resolution naming the winning team. Cancellation handling differs between platforms.Hero Tip:
Understand your platform's market type before trading. Kalshi YES = game is played (either team wins). Polymarket requires picking the specific winning team. Confirm cancellation/postponement policies on your platform—Polymarket explicitly addresses 50-50 split for cancellations; Kalshi does not.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary YES/NO structure where both Milwaukee Admirals win and Manitoba Moose win resolve to YES. No explicit cancellation protocol provided. Quote: 'If Milwaukee Admirals wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Manitoba Moose wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical structure resolving to team name (Milwaukee Admirals or Manitoba Moose). Explicit cancellation protocol: game canceled with no makeup = 50-50 split. Postponed games remain open until completion. Quote: 'If Milwaukee Admirals win, the market will resolve to Milwaukee Admirals. If Manitoba Moose win, the market will resolve to Manitoba Moose. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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