This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Milwaukee Admirals and Cleveland Monsters scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Milwaukee wins and Cleveland wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's logic is consistent but uses a different resolution format (team name vs Yes/No) and includes explicit postponement and cancellation rules absent from Kalshi.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade this market on Kalshi until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The statement that both teams winning resolves to Yes is logically impossible. Polymarket's market is resolvable and includes proper edge case handling for postponements and cancellations.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: States that if Milwaukee Admirals wins the game resolves to Yes, and if Cleveland Monsters wins the game also resolves to Yes. This is a logical contradiction. Key Quote: Both outcomes explicitly map to Yes resolution.
Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team's name (Milwaukee Admirals or Cleveland Monsters). Includes explicit handling: postponed games remain open until completion; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout goals are counted as one goal for the winning team. Key Quote: If Milwaukee wins resolve to Milwaukee Admirals; if Cleveland wins resolve to Cleveland Monsters; if canceled with no makeup, resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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