TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Volume:
$2,494
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Lehigh Valley Phantoms and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins scheduled for March 29, 2026 at 3:05 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout rules.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Phantoms win OR Penguins win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the contract unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution logic is broken—both teams winning cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary contract. Stick to Polymarket, which has coherent, mutually exclusive resolution criteria. Contact Kalshi support to clarify if this is a documentation error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolution: Phantoms win → resolves to 'Lehigh Valley Phantoms', Penguins win → resolves to 'Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Logically incoherent binary contract: states 'If Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Lehigh Valley Phantoms wins... resolves to Yes'. Both possible outcomes map to the same resolution state, violating binary market logic and making resolution impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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