TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Hershey Bears
Volume:
$2,325
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Lehigh Valley Phantoms and Hershey Bears scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are attempting to capture the outcome of this matchup, with different resolution structures.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Hershey Bears win OR Lehigh Valley Phantoms win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
This is a critical market design flaw on Kalshi. Before committing capital, contact Kalshi support to determine if this is a template error or if the market will be corrected. Polymarket's structure is logically sound and resolvable. Consider trading only on Polymarket until Kalshi clarifies.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-based resolution. Resolves to the name of the winning team (Lehigh Valley Phantoms or Hershey Bears) based on final score including overtime and shootout. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Yes/No binary structure with contradictory mapping: both Hershey Bears win and Lehigh Valley Phantoms win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid path to No resolution. This is logically impossible.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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