TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Bridgeport Islanders
Volume:
$1,467
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Lehigh Valley Phantoms and Bridgeport Islanders scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both mutually exclusive outcomes (Phantoms win and Islanders win) resolve to the same state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the contradiction is resolved. Use Polymarket as the reference framework. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a documentation error or intentional market design.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome mapping with clear resolution paths. Phantoms win = 'Lehigh Valley Phantoms', Islanders win = 'Bridgeport Islanders'. Includes edge cases: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootout (shootout adds 1 goal to winner). Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic maps both possible outcomes to Yes. States 'If Lehigh Valley Phantoms wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bridgeport Islanders wins...resolves to Yes'. No edge case handling documented. Key Quote: Both win conditions resolve to 'Yes', creating logical impossibility.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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