This event group covers the professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Iowa Wild and Milwaukee Admirals scheduled for April 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Both platforms are betting on the same game outcome, with resolution determined by the final score including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Iowa Wild win and Milwaukee Admirals win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a single binary contract.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a data entry error or represents two separate markets. Polymarket's structure is logically sound and resolvable. Request explicit clarification from Kalshi on the intended Yes/No outcome mapping.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. One team wins, market resolves to that team's name. Handles edge cases (postponement, cancellation) explicitly. Includes shootout scoring rule (one goal added to winner). Logically consistent and resolvable.
Kalshi: Contradictory resolution criteria. Both 'Iowa Wild wins' and 'Milwaukee Admirals wins' are stated to resolve to Yes. This violates basic binary logic where only one outcome should map to Yes and the other to No. Market is logically unresolvable in current form.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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