TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Volume:
$5,685
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Hershey Bears and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins scheduled for April 15, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary YES/NO resolution logic is internally contradictory, stating both possible game outcomes resolve to YES. Polymarket uses a clear winner-take-all categorical resolution with explicit edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the reliable reference for this matchup. On Kalshi, seek clarification on whether the market is actually two separate binary contracts or if one outcome should resolve NO. Do not assume Kalshi's wording is correct without confirmation from the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Categorical winner resolution: Hershey Bears win resolves to Hershey Bears; Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win resolves to Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Shootout goals counted as one goal added to winner's score.
- Kalshi: Binary YES/NO structure with contradictory logic: states both Wilkes Barre-Scranton Penguins win AND Hershey Bears win resolve to YES, which is logically impossible for a single binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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