TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Volume:
$7,809
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Hershey Bears and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's structure is coherent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket until Kalshi corrects its market logic. The Kalshi market as written cannot distinguish between the two teams winning and therefore cannot settle properly.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-based resolution. Resolves to team name (Hershey Bears or Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins). Includes clear edge case handling: postponements keep market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Shootout wins add one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes.
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with critical flaw: both Hershey Bears win and Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No, making the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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