TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Rockford IceHogs
Volume:
$749
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Hershey Bears and Rockford IceHogs scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria map both possible outcomes (Hershey win and Rockford win) to the same resolution state (Yes), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is internally contradictory and cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Polymarket's market is the only tradeable version until Kalshi corrects its resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to team name of winner based on final score including overtime/shootout. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Defective resolution logic. Both Hershey win and Rockford win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility for a binary market. No clear mechanism to distinguish outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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