TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Belleville Senators
Volume:
$8,157
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Hershey Bears and Belleville Senators scheduled for February 16, 2026 at 3:00 PM EST. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Hershey Bears win and Belleville Senators win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses a proper ternary structure with distinct outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution framework is logically broken and will create settlement disputes. Trade only on Polymarket, which correctly differentiates outcomes and includes explicit handling for postponements and cancellations.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with critical flaw: both Hershey Bears win and Belleville Senators win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Hershey Bears wins...resolves to Yes. If Belleville Senators wins...resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible.
- Polymarket: Ternary outcome structure with clear differentiation: Hershey Bears win resolves to 'Hershey Bears', Belleville Senators win resolves to 'Belleville Senators', cancellation resolves 50-50. Includes postponement handling: market remains open until game completion. Quote: 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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