TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

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$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Belleville Senators
kalshi
polymarket

AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Belleville Senators

Volume:
$4,183

Hershey Bears

 - Kalshi

Hershey Bears - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hershey Bears

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$1,380
$869
N/A
N/A
$869
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Belleville Senators

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$632
$962
N/A
N/A
$962
Settled
No
polymarket

AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Belleville Senators

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,352
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Hershey Bears and Belleville Senators scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this game, with different resolution structures and edge-case handling.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Belleville win and Hershey win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard winner-take-all resolution.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi until the market is corrected. The Kalshi market as written cannot distinguish between outcomes. Use Polymarket as your primary market for this event, which has clear resolution logic: Hershey Bears resolves to 'Hershey Bears', Belleville Senators resolves to 'Belleville Senators', with explicit postponement and cancellation protocols.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both Belleville win and Hershey win resolve to Yes. This is a logical contradiction. Quote: 'If Belleville Senators wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Hershey Bears wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Standard categorical resolution: Hershey Bears win resolves to 'Hershey Bears', Belleville Senators win resolves to 'Belleville Senators'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) protocols. Quote: 'If Hershey Bears win, the market will resolve to Hershey Bears. If Belleville Senators win, the market will resolve to Belleville Senators.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.