TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) regular season game between the Hartford Wolf Pack and Rochester Americans scheduled for March 22, 2026 at 3:05 PM EDT. Markets resolve based on the final winner of the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Hartford Wolf Pack win and Rochester Americans win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making unique settlement impossible. Polymarket provides clear binary resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version until clarification is received. The contradiction makes it impossible to determine a unique winner. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be considered the reference standard for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clear binary win-based resolution. Hartford Wolf Pack victory resolves to Hartford Wolf Pack; Rochester Americans victory resolves to Rochester Americans. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Overtime and shootout outcomes are included in final score determination.Kalshi:
Contradictory resolution logic: both Hartford Wolf Pack win and Rochester Americans win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates logical impossibility—no unique settlement path exists. The market structure appears to conflate game occurrence with game outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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