This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Grand Rapids Griffins and Cleveland Monsters scheduled for March 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No structure where both possible game outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, while Polymarket uses a categorical structure where the market resolves to the name of the winning team. The platforms are measuring different settlement value types.
Hero Tip:
Understand your platform's native settlement format before trading. On Kalshi, you are betting Yes on the game being decided (not a tie or cancellation). On Polymarket, you are betting on which specific team wins. Polymarket's explicit handling of postponements and cancellations provides additional clarity; Kalshi does not address these edge cases.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market where both Cleveland Monsters winning and Grand Rapids Griffins winning resolve to Yes. No explicit guidance on postponements or cancellations. Quote: 'If Cleveland Monsters wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Grand Rapids Griffins wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Categorical market resolving to the winning team's name (either 'Grand Rapids Griffins' or 'Cleveland Monsters'). Explicitly states postponed games remain open until completion, and canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Quote: 'If Grand Rapids Griffins win, the market will resolve to Grand Rapids Griffins. If Cleveland Monsters win, the market will resolve to Cleveland Monsters.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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