TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Colorado Eagles and San Diego Gulls scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 9:00 PM EDT. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, resolving to Yes regardless of which team wins, making the market logically unresolvable as a predictive instrument. Polymarket uses standard winner-identification resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Kalshi's market structure is broken or poorly documented. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether this is a Yes/No market, a team-name market, or a moneyline market. Only trade Polymarket's version unless Kalshi's actual mechanics are confirmed.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Both San Diego Gulls win and Colorado Eagles win resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes, eliminating predictive value and making it impossible to bet No. Key quote: 'If San Diego Gulls wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Colorado Eagles wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Market resolves to the name of the winning team (Colorado Eagles or San Diego Gulls). Includes standard edge cases: postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50, shootout adds one goal to winner's score. Key quote: 'If Colorado Eagles win, the market will resolve to Colorado Eagles. If San Diego Gulls win, the market will resolve to San Diego Gulls.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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