This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Coachella Valley Firebirds and Ontario Reign scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the final score including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a fundamental contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Firebirds win OR Reign win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market logically unresolvable and preventing accurate settlement.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria are contradictory and will cause settlement failure. Trade only on Polymarket, which uses a proper binary winner-take-all structure. Report Kalshi's market to the platform for immediate correction.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all resolution with explicit edge-case handling. Resolves to team name if that team wins; postponements keep market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Shootout goals are counted as one goal added to winner's score.
Kalshi:
Contradictory dual-Yes resolution. Both 'Firebirds wins' and 'Reign wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No clear edge-case guidance provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.