This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Coachella Valley Firebirds and Henderson Silver Knights scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this regular-season game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Firebirds win or Silver Knights win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market without confirming the actual market terms on their platform. The published description appears to be a template error. Polymarket's market is logically sound and can be traded with confidence.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary outcome: Firebirds win resolves to Coachella Valley Firebirds, Silver Knights win resolves to Henderson Silver Knights. Includes explicit edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Final score includes overtime and shootouts (one goal added for shootout winner).
Kalshi:
Logically broken: Both conditional branches (Firebirds win AND Silver Knights win) resolve to Yes. No No condition exists. Market cannot distinguish between outcomes and is unresolvable as stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.