TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Abbotsford Canucks
Volume:
$4,973
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Coachella Valley Firebirds and Abbotsford Canucks scheduled for April 3, 2026 at 10:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are predicting the winner of this game, with different resolution mechanics but aligned underlying outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi employs a dual-Yes resolution structure (both teams winning resolve to Yes), while Polymarket uses standard categorical resolution (team name as outcome). The underlying event is identical, but the market mechanics are structurally incompatible.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets are directly arbitrageable. Verify Kalshi's actual market structure with the platform - the dual-Yes resolution may be a specification error. Polymarket's categorical structure is standard and reliable. If trading both platforms, confirm Kalshi's true mechanics before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Dual-Yes resolution: both Abbotsford Canucks winning and Coachella Valley Firebirds winning resolve to Yes. This creates a logical contradiction - there is no No outcome defined. Key Quote: 'If Abbotsford Canucks wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Coachella Valley Firebirds wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: Firebirds victory resolves to 'Coachella Valley Firebirds', Canucks victory resolves to 'Abbotsford Canucks'. Includes postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Key Quote: 'If Coachella Valley Firebirds win, the market will resolve to Coachella Valley Firebirds. If Abbotsford Canucks win, the market will resolve to Abbotsford Canucks.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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