TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Volume:
$3,322
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Cleveland Monsters and Lehigh Valley Phantoms scheduled for April 12, 2026 at 3:05 PM EDT. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with different resolution frameworks.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No structure that resolves Yes for any game outcome (either team winning), while Polymarket uses a categorical structure that resolves to the specific winning team name. This is a scope and structure divergence, not a contradiction in underlying facts.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is essentially betting on whether the game occurs and produces a winner (not a tie or cancellation). Polymarket's market is betting on which specific team wins. If you want directional exposure to a specific team, use Polymarket. If you want to bet on game occurrence or hedge both teams, Kalshi may be appropriate. Both platforms agree on the underlying game date, time, and teams.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market. Resolves Yes if either Cleveland Monsters or Lehigh Valley Phantoms wins the game. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard Kalshi rules would apply. Quote: 'If Lehigh Valley Phantoms wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Cleveland Monsters wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical market resolving to team name. Resolves to 'Cleveland Monsters' if they win, or 'Lehigh Valley Phantoms' if they win. Includes explicit handling: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If Cleveland Monsters win, the market will resolve to Cleveland Monsters. If Lehigh Valley Phantoms win, the market will resolve to Lehigh Valley Phantoms. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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