TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Calgary Wranglers and Coachella Valley Firebirds scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. Markets on both Kalshi and Polymarket are predicting the winner of this regular-season matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory (both outcomes resolve to Yes), and the platform lacks contingency rules for postponement or cancellation. Polymarket provides outcome-based resolution with explicit edge-case handling. This creates fundamental settlement ambiguity on Kalshi and makes the market potentially unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version until the platform clarifies whether the Yes resolution applies to Calgary only, Coachella Valley only, or represents a data entry error. Polymarket's market is resolvable and includes proper contingencies. If forced to choose, trade Polymarket and treat Kalshi as suspended pending clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Dual-Yes resolution creates logical contradiction. Both Calgary Wranglers win and Coachella Valley Firebirds win are stated to resolve to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish outcomes. No rules provided for postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: If Calgary Wranglers wins...resolves to Yes. If Coachella Valley Firebirds wins...resolves to Yes.Polymarket:
Outcome-based resolution: Calgary Wranglers win resolves to Calgary Wranglers; Coachella Valley Firebirds win resolves to Coachella Valley Firebirds. Includes explicit contingencies: postponed games remain open until completion; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50. Key Quote: If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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