TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Calgary Wranglers vs. Bakersfield Condors
Volume:
$406
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Calgary Wranglers and Bakersfield Condors scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this professional ice hockey game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Calgary Wranglers win OR Bakersfield Condors win) are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a mutually exclusive event. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity issue. Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as separate markets with incompatible resolution frameworks. Kalshi's market may be a Yes/No format (Yes = game occurs with any winner, No = cancellation/postponement), but the provided description does not clarify this. Contact Kalshi support before placing significant positions. Polymarket's binary winner-take-all structure is clear and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Calgary Wranglers win resolves to Calgary Wranglers; Bakersfield Condors win resolves to Bakersfield Condors. Postponements keep market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootouts (shootout winner gets +1 goal for scoring purposes).
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory as documented. Both Calgary Wranglers win and Bakersfield Condors win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible resolution state. The actual market structure (Yes/No vs. binary outcome) is unclear from the provided description.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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