This event group covers a single professional AHL (American Hockey League) game between the Bridgeport Islanders and Charlotte Checkers scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM EDT. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.
Kalshi's resolution criteria contain a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Charlotte wins OR Bridgeport wins) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market as written is logically impossible—both teams cannot both win. Request Kalshi support to confirm whether the second condition should resolve to No, or whether this is a trivial market on any winner. Trade Polymarket with confidence; its logic is clear and consistent.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to team name of winner. Handles edge cases: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Key Quote: If Bridgeport Islanders win, resolves to Bridgeport Islanders. If Charlotte Checkers win, resolves to Charlotte Checkers.
Kalshi: Logically contradictory Yes/No structure. Both possible outcomes map to Yes: Charlotte wins = Yes, AND Bridgeport wins = Yes. No condition leads to No resolution. This is a data integrity failure. Key Quote: If Charlotte Checkers wins...resolves to Yes. If Bridgeport Islanders wins...resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.