TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Hershey Bears
Volume:
$3,668
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single AHL (American Hockey League) matchup between the Belleville Senators and Hershey Bears scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this professional ice hockey game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria is logically contradictory: both possible game outcomes (Hershey win and Belleville win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket provides a coherent binary framework.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform issues a corrected resolution statement. The market as currently written cannot be settled. Polymarket's structure is logically sound: back Belleville or back Hershey, with clear edge-case handling for postponement and cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary outcome: Belleville Senators win resolves to Belleville Senators; Hershey Bears win resolves to Hershey Bears. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory resolution criteria. States both If Hershey Bears wins then resolves to Yes AND If Belleville Senators wins then resolves to Yes. In a binary Yes/No market, both outcomes cannot resolve to the same state. No edge case handling provided. Key Quote: If Hershey Bears wins... resolves to Yes. If Belleville Senators wins... resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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