TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds
Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 25 at 9:00PM ET: If Bakersfield Condors win, the market will resolve to "Bakersfield Condors". If Coachella Valley Firebirds win, the market will resolve to "Coachella Valley Firebirds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic omits explicit handling of postponement, cancellation, and shootout scoring adjustments that Polymarket clearly defines. This creates settlement ambiguity for edge-case outcomes.Hero Tip:
Favor Polymarket for clarity on postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Before trading on Kalshi, confirm their policy on canceled games and whether shootout goals are counted as stated or adjusted per Polymarket's one-goal rule.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three-outcome framework: Bakersfield win resolves to Bakersfield Condors, Coachella Valley win resolves to Coachella Valley Firebirds, postponement keeps market open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout adds one goal to winner's score for resolution purposes. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Binary yes/no structure: Yes if Bakersfield wins OR if Coachella Valley wins. No explicit guidance on postponement, cancellation, or shootout scoring. Key Quote: 'If Bakersfield Condors wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Coachella Valley Firebirds wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
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