TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds
polymarket
kalshi

AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds

Volume:
$18,486

Bakersfield Condors

 - Kalshi

Bakersfield Condors - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 24, 2026

Closed: Apr 24, 1:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bakersfield Condors

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,913
N/A
N/A
$6,101
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Coachella Valley Firebirds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,184
N/A
N/A
$7,478
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for April 23 at 10:10PM ET: If Bakersfield Condors win, the market will resolve to "Bakersfield Condors". If Coachella Valley Firebirds win, the market will resolve to "Coachella Valley Firebirds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both outcomes (Coachella Valley Firebirds win OR Bakersfield Condors win) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—it resolves YES regardless of which team wins, creating an arbitrage trap. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary logic (one team wins, market resolves to that team's name).

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both possible outcomes resolve to YES. Rule 1 states 'If Coachella Valley Firebirds wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Rule 2 states 'If Bakersfield Condors wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Since one team must win, the market always resolves YES, creating a logical impossibility for a binary market.
  • Polymarket: Mutually exclusive resolution: market resolves to 'Bakersfield Condors' if Bakersfield wins, or 'Coachella Valley Firebirds' if Coachella Valley wins. Includes postponement and cancellation clauses. Result determined by final score including overtime and shootouts.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.