TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AGS Astéras Trípolis vs. AS Áris Thessaloníkis
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of AGS Astéras Trípolis vs. AS Áris Thessaloníkis?

Volume:
$165,403

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 1:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,309
N/A
N/A
$16,243
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (AGS Astéras Trípolis vs. AS Áris Thessaloníkis)

100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,656
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aris Thessaloniki

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$64,449
N/A
N/A
$33,591
Settled
No
polymarket

AS Áris Thessaloníkis

0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Asteras Tripolis

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,968
N/A
N/A
$17,269
Settled
No
polymarket

AGS Astéras Trípolis

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between AGS Astéras Trípolis and AS Áris Thessaloníkis scheduled for September 9/10, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the match will end in a draw, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi lacks an explicit rule.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket's 'No' resolution on cancellation favors the opposing team in the event of a cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit rule for cancellations; resolution may be uncertain if the game is never played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Greek Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 9, 2026 between AGS Astéras Trípolis and AS Áris Thessaloníkis.

Kalshi

The event consists of three markets resolving based on the result of the Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Thessaloniki professional Greek Cup soccer match scheduled for September 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 'Asteras Tripolis' market resolves to Yes if Asteras Tripolis wins in regulation time. The 'Aris Thessaloniki' market resolves to Yes if Aris Thessaloniki wins in regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a tie after regulation time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution of any market.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Greek Super League match across multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the probabilities surrounding various outcomes of the match between AGS Astéras Trípolis and AS Áris Thessaloníkis. Currently, the aggregated volume for this market is $165,403, with $158,924 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard aims to synthesize information from different prediction markets, offering a comprehensive look at expectations for this contest. This allows users to see where the 'wisdom of the crowd' currently stands.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate their own risk assessments and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of individual traders. This market, for example, represents the aggregated beliefs of those willing to put capital behind their predictions. While there can be correlation, differences arise from varying participant motivations and information access. Prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, particularly when a large and diverse group participates.