TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 9:04 AM EST
Kalshi
AG.AL International and MIBR LOS compete in the second map of their Valorant match at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 7, 2026. The winner of this individual map will be determined by standard Valorant gameplay rules.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of map 2 in the Esports World Cup 2026 Valorant match between AG.AL International and MIBR LOS scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the map according to official tournament rules and scoring.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader conviction and real-money risk. Traders here stake capital on their belief about the outcome, creating prices that can be more sensitive to new information and less constrained by traditional bookmaking margins. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional bettors and retail traders disagree on AG.AL International's chances on Map 2.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the last traded price, with the spread between bid and ask orders showing the cost of immediate execution. As more traders enter positions ahead of the match, the price adjusts to balance supply and demand. You can place limit orders to trade at your preferred odds or market orders for instant fills, with all pricing transparent and updated in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the AG.AL International vs. MIBR LOS match concludes and the Map 2 result is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources covering esports competition results. Traders holding yes shares receive full payout if AG.AL International wins the map; those holding no shares are paid out if MIBR LOS prevails. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, allowing traders to see final settlement quickly and move capital to other markets.
Several factors can shift odds before the match plays out. Roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements affecting either team will likely trigger repricing. Recent map performance data, head-to-head records on this specific map, and team form leading up to the event all influence trader positioning. Esports news outlets covering team preparation, strategic adjustments, or equipment issues can spark rapid moves. Additionally, if one team is heavily favored in early trading, contrarian traders may build positions, creating volatility. Monitor team social media and esports news sources for updates that could reshape expectations.