TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 9:04 AM EST
Kalshi
AG.AL International and Global Esports compete in the second map of their Valorant match at the Esports World Cup 2026 on July 5, 2026. The outcome depends on which team successfully wins the map during regulation play.
Resolution is determined by the winner of map 2 in the scheduled Valorant match. Either AG.AL International or Global Esports will win the map, with the corresponding market resolving to Yes for the winning team.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders here profit by identifying mispricings, which can make prediction market odds more efficient over time. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news or sharp action, and their odds include built-in margins. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of all active traders at any moment, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their orders, and the price updates in real time. This decentralized pricing model means the odds you see are determined by supply and demand rather than a centralized sportsbook, often resulting in tighter spreads and more responsive price movement.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the Map 2 result between AG.AL International and Global Esports is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting on the esports competition. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information and match developments influence their expectations. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match concludes and the result is officially announced.
Several factors could shift this market significantly before resolution. Team roster changes, player injuries, or unexpected roster swaps announced before the match could alter perceived strength. Recent performance data, head-to-head records, and map-specific win rates are key catalysts. Analyst predictions and community sentiment on esports forums and social media may also influence trader positioning. In-game events during Map 1 or earlier rounds could provide momentum signals that traders incorporate into their Map 2 expectations, causing sharp price movements as the match progresses.