TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 2:57 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the scheduled cricket match between India and Afghanistan will take place as planned in the Afghanistan Tour of India T20s. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Afghanistan Tour of India T20s: India vs Afghanistan” and a 99.5% probability to “Afghanistan Tour of India T20s: India vs Afghanistan - Completed match?”. Resolution will be based on the outcome reported at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Keep an eye on the match scheduled for September 15 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, as any changes to this fixture will likely be a key signal for this market.
This market refers to the cricket match between India and Afghanistan scheduled for September 15 2026 at 9:30 AM ET in Afghanistan Tour of India T20s. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of a given result. It's valuable to compare both to gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes for the India vs Afghanistan T20 series.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders exchange positions, incorporating new information and shifting sentiment about the India vs Afghanistan T20 series. This creates a real-time assessment of potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the India vs Afghanistan T20 series, as determined by official match results. The final outcome of this market will align with the series winner or the specific outcome defined within the market’s parameters. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive results that will trigger market settlement.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Unexpected player injuries to key players on either the Indian or Afghan team, changes in weather conditions that might favor one side, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-series analysis could all be catalysts. Any news regarding team selection, pitch reports, or even early performance in the initial matches of the India vs Afghanistan T20 series will likely impact trading and cause the probabilities to adjust accordingly.