TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 5:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AFC Ajax and Willem II Tilburg, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Ajax" if AFC Ajax are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Willem II Tilburg" if Willem II Tilburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AFC Ajax and Willem II Tilburg, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AFC Ajax" if AFC Ajax are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Willem II Tilburg" if Willem II Tilburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing promotions or biases, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. If sportsbook odds significantly underestimate or overestimate a team’s chances compared to this market, arbitrage opportunities may arise for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards a more accurate probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the collective probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that team scoring first; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on determining which team scores the first goal in the match between Ajax and Willem II Tilburg. The result will be based on official match data and sources, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the confirmed result of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also impact trader sentiment. A strong performance by either team in a preceding match, or even rumors of internal team issues, could also trigger movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s likelihood of scoring first has the potential to move this market.