TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AFC Ajax vs. Willem II Tilburg
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of AFC Ajax vs. Willem II Tilburg?

Volume:
$612,575

AFC Ajax

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 5:52 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

AFC Ajax

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$145,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ajax

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$112,013
N/A
N/A
$56,034
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Willem II Tilburg

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160,460
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Willem II

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$90,967
N/A
N/A
$74,456
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68,945
N/A
N/A
$46,592
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (AFC Ajax vs. Willem II Tilburg)

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the AFC Ajax versus Willem II Tilburg soccer match in the Eredivisie on September 15, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of AFC Ajax winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the official results reported on eredivisie.nl. Keep an eye on September 15, 2026, as that is the scheduled date for the match and will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' while Kalshi's resolution is less defined.Hero tip: Consider the risk of a cancellation and the differing resolutions. If you believe a cancellation is likely, Polymarket's 'No' outcome may be preferable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Ajax/Willem II wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Canceled games resolve to 'No'. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable within 24 hours.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Ajax/Willem II wins or the game ends in a tie within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit resolution rule for cancellations; likely resolves to 'no contest' or similar based on Kalshi's standard rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 15, 2026 between AFC Ajax and Willem II Tilburg.

Kalshi

The event resolves according to the result of the Ajax vs Willem II professional Eredivisie soccer game scheduled for September 15, 2026. If Ajax secures a victory after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the 'Ajax' market resolves to Yes. If Willem II achieves a win within the same timeframe, the 'Willem II' market resolves to Yes. A tied result after regulation time leads to the 'Tie' market resolving to Yes. In cases where the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours from the original date, markets settle at a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, with only regular time scores considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Ajax vs. Willem II match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong likelihood of one particular result. The aggregated volume for this market is $612,575, with $604,047 traded in the last 24 hours. This reflects the collective wisdom of traders on both venues, providing a dynamic forecast of the match’s result. The dashboard displays the probabilities as implied by the trading activity on each platform, offering a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate assessment of probabilities, especially when significant information isn't yet widely available to the public. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on popular outcomes, while this market may offer opportunities on less conventional possibilities.