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406,065

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AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior?

Volume:
$802,975

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 4:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$221,973
N/A
N/A
$114,449
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior)

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Excelsior

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$261,218
N/A
N/A
$139,635
Settled
No
kalshi

Ajax

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$246,439
N/A
N/A
$106,007
Settled
No
polymarket

AFC Ajax

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,459
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SBV Excelsior

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a single Eredivisie soccer match between AFC Ajax and SBV Excelsior scheduled for September 19, 2026. Markets exist for Ajax winning, Excelsior winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves cancelled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers defined risk in this scenario, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (governing body, Flashscore, Sofascore) for data.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is provided. Relies on the game being completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Saturday, September 19, 2026 between AFC Ajax and SBV Excelsior.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Ajax vs Excelsior Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Ajax, a win for Excelsior, or a tie. If the match concludes with Ajax scoring more goals than Excelsior by the end of regulation time, the 'Ajax' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Excelsior finishes with a higher score, the 'Excelsior' market resolves to Yes. Should both teams end regulation time level, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the rare case that the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the league, without regard to any post-regulation proceedings.