TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the outcome of the AFC Ajax vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino match scheduled for August 26, 2026, focusing on whether AFC Ajax wins, the match ends in a draw, or Real Madrid CF Femenino wins within regular play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 26, 2026 between AFC Ajax and Real Madrid CF Femenino.
The event covers three possible outcomes for the Ajax vs Real Madrid professional Champions League Women’s soccer match scheduled for August 26, 2026: a win for Ajax, a win for Real Madrid, or a tie, all determined after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its designated outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The governing body is not affiliated with Kalshi, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Market design and user bases drive price variation between Polymarket and Kalshi. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics and liquidity profiles, which shape how probabilities are assessed. For this market, differences in available trading volume and fee structures can amplify or dampen price movements. Additionally, each venue may update its odds on slightly different timelines after major news — such as lineup changes or weather updates — leading to temporary divergence until both markets rebalance around the same consensus.
Injuries to key players, tactical announcements from coaches, and weather conditions leading up to the match can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. High-impact moments such as a star player being ruled out or a last-minute formation change often trigger rapid repricing. Additionally, early betting trends on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum that influences broader market perception, especially when volume spikes above $234,786 in the hours before kickoff.