TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AFC Ajax vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of AFC Ajax vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino?

Volume:
$235,370

Real Madrid

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 4:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,253
N/A
N/A
$34,336
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Real Madrid CF Femenino

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ajax

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$131,420
N/A
N/A
$102,084
Settled
No
polymarket

AFC Ajax

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,149
N/A
N/A
$33,631
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (AFC Ajax vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino)

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$272
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the AFC Ajax vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino match scheduled for August 26, 2026, focusing on whether AFC Ajax wins, the match ends in a draw, or Real Madrid CF Femenino wins within regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Markets consistently resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with specific handling for cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • If the game is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket resolves No for win markets and Yes for draw market; Kalshi resolves Yes regardless of outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed
  • Cancellation: Polymarket: No for win markets, Yes for draw market; Kalshi: Yes for all outcomes
Timing: Within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, using official statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data is delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 26, 2026 between AFC Ajax and Real Madrid CF Femenino.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes for the Ajax vs Real Madrid professional Champions League Women’s soccer match scheduled for August 26, 2026: a win for Ajax, a win for Real Madrid, or a tie, all determined after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its designated outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The governing body is not affiliated with Kalshi, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Ajax vs. Real Madrid women’s match market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities, volume of $235,370, and 24-hour volume at $234,786. It offers a consensus view of how traders across platforms price this market, highlighting any notable shifts in sentiment as the match approaches.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Market design and user bases drive price variation between Polymarket and Kalshi. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics and liquidity profiles, which shape how probabilities are assessed. For this market, differences in available trading volume and fee structures can amplify or dampen price movements. Additionally, each venue may update its odds on slightly different timelines after major news — such as lineup changes or weather updates — leading to temporary divergence until both markets rebalance around the same consensus.

Injuries to key players, tactical announcements from coaches, and weather conditions leading up to the match can all shift trader sentiment and move this market. High-impact moments such as a star player being ruled out or a last-minute formation change often trigger rapid repricing. Additionally, early betting trends on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum that influences broader market perception, especially when volume spikes above $234,786 in the hours before kickoff.