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AFC Ajax vs. PSV
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of AFC Ajax vs PSV?

Volume:
$1,378,506

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 10:42 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$289,657
N/A
N/A
$156,013
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (AFC Ajax vs. PSV)

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

PSV

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$152,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Den Haag

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$394,915
N/A
N/A
$160,074
Settled
No
kalshi

Feyenoord

View
0%
84%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$304,460
N/A
N/A
$170,302
Settled
No
polymarket

AFC Ajax

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether PSV will win their soccer match against AFC Ajax on September 5, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of PSV winning is 99.5%, based on data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from the Eredivisie governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting consensus. A potential draw is currently priced at 0.5%. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 5, 2026, to see if PSV secures the win as overwhelmingly predicted by the market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use the same core resolution logic based on official match results after regular time plus stoppage time, with consistent sources and cancellation handling where applicable.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the Eredivisie governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting consensus

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
  • Postponements keep markets open until completion
  • Cancellations without makeup games resolve as specified per market: 'No' for win markets, 'Yes' for draw market

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed
  • Cancellation: Ajax win and PSV win markets resolve to 'No'; draw market resolves to 'Yes'
Timing: Resolution occurs after official match conclusion, typically within 2 hours, using primary or fallback sources as specifiedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between AFC Ajax and PSV.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Feyenoord vs Den Haag Eredivisie match scheduled for August 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Feyenoord or Den Haag occurs only if that team secures a victory within regular time; draws resolve the 'Tie' market. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only the result after regular time counts. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Ajax vs. PSV championship market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It displays total volume of $1,378,506 and 24-hour volume of $1,191,692, letting you see where consensus stands and how sentiment shifts over time. This view works across platforms, so you can watch how the market evolves as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders rather than set benchmarks. In this market, prediction markets may price outcomes with a wider or narrower spread, depending on perceived risks and recent performance data. The gap between the two can highlight where smart money sees value versus public betting trends.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds temporarily, while the other could reflect international traders. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure, which influences how users place bets and therefore how probabilities are priced.