TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AF Elbasani and FK BATE Barysaŭ, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AF Elbasani" if AF Elbasani are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK BATE Barysaŭ" if FK BATE Barysaŭ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between AF Elbasani and FK BATE Barysaŭ, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AF Elbasani" if AF Elbasani are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FK BATE Barysaŭ" if FK BATE Barysaŭ are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. Traders betting on this market may have sharper information or different risk appetites than casual bettors at conventional sportsbooks. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees edge, though both sources ultimately reflect uncertainty about which team scores first.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying or selling shares directly moves the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—AF Elbasani scoring first or FK BATE Barysaŭ scoring first—has a price between 0 and 1, representing the implied probability. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time to reflect new information and shifting sentiment. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to breaking news, team lineups, or other developments that might affect the outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the match between AF Elbasani and FK BATE Barysaŭ concludes and the outcome is verified against credible public sources. The winning position is determined by which team records the first goal during regular play. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Key catalysts include team news—injuries to star strikers, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—that alter scoring potential. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments can also influence early-game dynamics. Pre-match analysis from credible sports journalists or statistical models may shift trader positioning if new insights emerge. Betting activity from sharp bettors or institutional traders can signal conviction and trigger repricing. As match day approaches, this market typically tightens as uncertainty resolves and traders finalize positions based on final team sheets and conditions.