TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.3b
24H VOL:
$121,875,814
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,437,844,306
405,535
Markets across
30,523
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between AF Elbasani and FK BATE Barysaŭ, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AF Elbasani vs. FK BATE Barysaŭ match originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between AF Elbasani and FK BATE Barysaŭ, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the AF Elbasani vs. FK BATE Barysaŭ match originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who profit from accuracy. Traders on this market are motivated to price outcomes as close to true probability as possible, since mispricing creates arbitrage opportunities. Over time, prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information more efficiently than traditional sportsbooks, though both can offer valuable signals for understanding match outcomes.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where each exact score outcome is represented as a tradeable share. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief among traders about that outcome's likelihood. As traders buy shares they believe are underpriced or sell those they think are overpriced, the market adjusts continuously. The current top outcome reflects where traders have concentrated their capital, signaling the most probable scoreline according to market participants.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the match between AF Elbasani and FK BATE Barysaŭ concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time. Traders who hold shares in the correct exact score outcome receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution is automatic once the result is confirmed and recorded.
Team news and injury updates can significantly shift odds, especially if key players are ruled out or return to fitness. Recent form, head-to-head history, and tactical adjustments announced before kickoff often trigger repricing. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence trader expectations about scoring patterns. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments such as lineup confirmations or managerial statements can cause sharp moves. During the match itself, live score updates will drive continuous repricing as traders react to goals and the evolving game state.