Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical resolution logic: the market resolves based on the official match outcome (AEK win, draw, or Rayo win) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 16, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from UEFA or the governing body/event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.
Core resolution logic:
AEK Win market resolves YES if and only if AEK wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO otherwise or if the game is canceled with no make-up.
Draw market resolves YES if and only if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up.
Rayo Vallecano Win market resolves YES if and only if Rayo wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO otherwise or if the game is canceled with no make-up.
Exactly one of the three markets (AEK Win, Draw, Rayo Win) will resolve YES in normal circumstances.
If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up scheduled, AEK Win and Rayo Win markets resolve NO, while the Draw market resolves YES.
Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a rescheduled date.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official UEFA statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution source.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 16, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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