TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 7:48 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact set score of the professional tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Titouan Droguet at the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128 on June 29. Bettors predict whether Mannarino wins 3-0, 3-1, or 3-2, or whether Droguet wins 3-2, 3-1, or 3-0.
The market resolves based on the final set score of the Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet match at 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, the market resolves to fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are resolved to fair market price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money skin-in-the-game. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing on niche outcomes like exact tennis scores because traders are directly rewarded for accuracy rather than volume. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for each possible exact scoreline outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any given score reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction—and moves as new information or trader conviction shifts. This mechanism ensures that pricing remains dynamic and responsive to changing expectations about how the Mannarino versus Droguet match will unfold, with tighter spreads typically appearing as match time approaches.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the final exact score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the verified result of the Mannarino versus Droguet match, checked against credible public sources. Your position will settle based on whether the exact scoreline you predicted matches the official recorded result. Early resolution is possible if the match is cancelled or abandoned under tournament rules.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before it resolves. Recent form, head-to-head records, and court surface preference will influence trader positioning. Injury reports or withdrawal announcements can trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions, tournament scheduling changes, or news about either player's fitness closer to match day may also drive movement. As the match date approaches, increased trading volume and refined expectations typically tighten the spread, while any late-breaking developments can create volatility in the odds.