TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the exact set score outcome of the professional tennis match between Adolfo Daniel Vallejo and Nicolas Mejia in the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 128 on June 29. The match result will be determined by the final set score achieved by either player.
The market resolves based on the exact set score of the Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round of 128. If the match does not occur due to player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, the market resolves to a fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at Fair Market Price as determined by the Exchange.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may offer sharper or more reactive pricing on the exact score than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and informed traders disagree on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for each possible exact score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any outcome reflects the consensus probability among active traders at that moment. As new information surfaces or trading interest shifts, prices adjust in real time. Outcomes with higher perceived likelihood trade at higher prices, while less-favored scorelines trade lower, allowing you to enter or exit positions based on your own view of the matchup.
This market resolves around Jun 29, 2026, once the Vallejo versus Mejia event concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline recorded at the end of the contest. Your position settles based on whether your chosen score matches the official result. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as traders reassess probabilities based on pre-event news, form updates, or other relevant signals.
Several factors may shift prices in this market before Jun 29, 2026. Injury announcements, recent performance data, or changes in team or fighter condition could alter trader expectations of the final score. Media coverage, expert analysis, and public betting patterns may also influence sentiment. Closer to the event, weather conditions, venue details, or last-minute lineup adjustments could trigger repricing. Early trading activity and volume spikes often signal where informed traders are positioning, making them useful indicators of shifting consensus on the likely scoreline.