TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Adley Rutschman's Next Team before Mar 25, 2027
kalshi

Adley Rutschman's Next Team before Mar 25, 2027

Volume:
$52,813

Boston

 - Kalshi

Boston - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 5:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Boston

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,922
N/A
N/A
$16,835
5mo 3w 5d
Yes
kalshi

New York Y

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,983
N/A
N/A
$4,823
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Baltimore

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,500
N/A
N/A
$1,986
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,157
N/A
N/A
$904
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

New York M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$900
N/A
N/A
$817
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Chicago WS

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$432
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Los Angeles D

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
$412
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

San Diego

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
$183
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Retires / No Team

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
$268
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Colorado

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$279
N/A
N/A
$267
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Texas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$142
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Philadelphia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$124
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Cincinnati

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
$89
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Atlanta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
$89
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Minnesota

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$114
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$90
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Arizona

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$92
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

St. Louis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$92
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Detroit

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$89
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Kansas City

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$89
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Los Angeles A

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$89
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Milwaukee

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$89
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

A's

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$89
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Toronto

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$91
5mo 3w 5d
No
kalshi

Washington

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$89
5mo 3w 5d
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether catcher Adley Rutschman will sign with the Detroit Tigers as his next team before March 25, 2027. The leading outcome—Rutschman joining Detroit—currently stands at 67.0%, while an alternative outcome carries 4.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by official MLB records and team rosters. Watch for any trade announcements or free agency signings during the 2026–2027 offseason, as these moves will directly determine the market outcome by the March 25, 2027 deadline.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Adley Rutschman's team status as of March 25, 2027. If Rutschman signs with a new team before that date, the corresponding team market resolves Yes. If Rutschman remains with his team at market issuance, that team's market resolves Yes. If Rutschman officially retires or is not on any team by March 25, 2027, the "Retires / No Team" market resolves Yes. Exactly one outcome will resolve affirmatively based on Rutschman's employment status at the deadline.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for Adley Rutschman's next team on Kalshi. It displays the current probability of each potential outcome, historical price movements, and live order flow. The market has generated $52,813 in total trading volume, with $41,050 traded in the last 24 hours. Users can monitor how odds shift as new information emerges, compare relative confidence across different team outcomes, and place trades based on their predictions about where Rutschman will play next.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time crowd sentiment and are typically more dynamic than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For Rutschman's next team, the prediction market may diverge from sportsbook odds depending on which outcomes attract the most speculative interest. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers or the broader prediction market crowd is more bullish on specific destinations. Both sources offer valuable perspective on likelihood, though they operate under different incentive structures.

The market resolves on Mar 25, 2027. Resolution is determined by official confirmation of Rutschman's next team, whether through a trade announcement, free-agent signing, or other authoritative MLB source. The outcome reflects where Rutschman is contractually bound to play next, not where he may be traded mid-season or where he ultimately retires. Once the market resolves, winning contracts pay out at full value and losing contracts expire worthless. Traders should monitor official team announcements and league news for the triggering event.

Key catalysts include trade rumors involving Rutschman or the Orioles, front-office statements about roster plans, free-agency developments, and injury updates affecting his market value. Contending teams' playoff performance and payroll decisions will influence which franchises are positioned to acquire him. Contract extension talks with Baltimore or public comments from Rutschman about his future could shift odds sharply. Coaching or management changes at other teams may also alter their perceived interest. Media reports, analyst commentary, and rival team acquisitions will all ripple through the market as traders reassess probabilities leading up to resolution.