TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 1:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an Indonesia Super League soccer match between Adhyaksa and Bali United. Bettors can speculate on whether Adhyaksa will win, Bali United will win, or if the game will end in a tie within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Adhyaksa vs Bali United professional Indonesia Super League soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome is determined for the respective markets if Adhyaksa wins (Adhyaksa market), Bali United wins (Bali United market), or the match concludes in a tie (Tie market). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event specifically considers only regular time results, with no account for extended play or tie-breaking procedures.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and ensure profit, often incorporating a margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to take both sides of a bet, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially react to news, this market continuously adjusts as traders incorporate new data and insights, potentially revealing different expectations about the Adhyaksa vs Bali United match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value, representing the aggregated prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they'll buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a clear and transparent assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Adhyaksa vs Bali United match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure an accurate and impartial settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake. This process ensures a transparent and reliable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Adhyaksa or Bali United would likely cause movement. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they significantly favor one team's playing style, could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, even if not directly impacting the teams, can influence trader sentiment and therefore the price of contracts in this market.