TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC - More Markets
Volume:
$278,196
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers spread betting and over/under markets for the A-League match between Adelaide United FC and Wellington Phoenix FC scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 3:35 AM ET. Markets span multiple goal-differential thresholds (1.5, 2.5 goals) and combined goal totals (1.5 through 4.5), plus a both-teams-to-score market, all resolving based on the final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official A-League final score, 90-minute regulation plus stoppage time only, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open) and cancellations (50-50 split).
Primary resolution logic:
Official final score published on a-league.com.au; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus.Core resolution logic:
- Spread markets (Adelaide -1.5, -2.5; Wellington -1.5, -2.5): Resolve YES if the favored team wins by the stated margin or greater; otherwise NO.
- Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5): Resolve YES if combined goals scored by both teams meet or exceed the threshold; otherwise NO.
- Both-Teams-to-Score: Resolves YES if Adelaide scores at least 1 goal AND Wellington scores at least 1 goal; NO if either team finishes with 0 goals.
- Scope: All markets reference only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded.
- Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed.
- Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and completed.
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50 (split evenly between YES and NO outcomes).
- Incomplete Match: If the match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution follows the official final score published by a-league.com.au for the portion played.
- Source Delay: If a-league.com.au does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources.
- Extra Time and Penalties: Markets resolve based only on the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all market resolutions.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published on a-league.com.au, or within 2 hours post-match if credible reporting consensus is required. Postponed matches remain unresolved until played; canceled matches resolve 50-50 immediately upon official cancellation notice.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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