TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC
Volume:
$692,629
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of an A-League soccer match between Adelaide United FC and Wellington Phoenix FC scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Adelaide win, Wellington win, or draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve on the same match outcome (Adelaide win, Wellington win, or draw) measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with aligned handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official A-League match records and on-field referee determination at conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage timeCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time, no penalties)
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Adelaide United FC wins, Wellington Phoenix FC wins, or draw
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game, draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No (Polymarket explicit; Kalshi implicit via exhaustive outcome coverage)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs on the actual match date, not the original March 6, 2026 date.
- Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket explicitly resolves draw to Yes and win markets to No. Kalshi does not explicitly address this scenario but outcome coverage is exhaustive, implying similar treatment.
- Extra time or penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalties from resolution scope. Only the 90-minute result plus stoppage time counts.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 6, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed. No delayed settlement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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