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402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC
polymarket
kalshi

Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC

Volume:
$218,462

Adelaide wins by over 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Adelaide wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Closed: Feb 20, 7:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Adelaide wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,969
N/A
N/A
$5,357
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Adelaide wins by over 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,354
N/A
N/A
$2,298
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Perth wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$318
Settled
No
kalshi

Perth wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$314
N/A
N/A
$314
Settled
No
polymarket

Adelaide United FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$157,704
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Perth Glory FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,542
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,262
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC A-League soccer match scheduled for February 20, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets (Adelaide win, draw, Perth win), while Kalshi provides four spread-based markets (Adelaide/Perth by >1.5 and >2.5 goals). All markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi cover fundamentally different outcome spaces. Polymarket's three binary markets are mutually exclusive and exhaustive (one must resolve YES). Kalshi's four spread markets are sparse and leave multiple outcomes unpriced, creating incomplete coverage.Hero tip: Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets are hedges or mirrors. A 1-0 Adelaide win resolves YES on Polymarket's Adelaide winner but does NOT resolve YES on any Kalshi market. A draw resolves YES on Polymarket's draw market but does NOT resolve YES on any Kalshi market. Use Polymarket for full outcome exposure; use Kalshi only for high-confidence spread bets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Adelaide win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), Perth win (YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES. Covers all possible 90-minute outcomes. Cancellation without makeup resolves Adelaide and Perth markets to NO, draw market to YES.
  • Kalshi: Four directional spread markets: Adelaide >2.5 goals, Adelaide >1.5 goals, Perth >2.5 goals, Perth >1.5 goals. Each resolves YES only if the specified threshold is met. Outcomes with 1-goal margins or draws are not covered by any YES resolution path.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.