TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 5:19 AM EST
Kalshi
Two Australian Football League teams, Adelaide Crows and Essendon Bombers, compete in a match scheduled for August 2, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures a victory in this head-to-head contest. If neither team wins outright, the result will be split equally.
If Adelaide Crows wins the Adelaide Crows vs Essendon Bombers professional AFL game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Essendon Bombers wins the Adelaide Crows vs Essendon Bombers professional AFL game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ from sportsbook odds due to unique trader dynamics and market-specific factors. While sportsbooks set their lines based on a combination of analytics and risk management, this market prices in real time based on trader activity and volume of $33,969. The difference can provide additional insight into where informed traders are positioning themselves relative to more traditional betting markets.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which is compared against the market’s defined outcomes. As the game approaches, any last-minute changes — such as lineup updates or weather conditions — could influence the final settlement, but the market will close based on the confirmed result from trusted sources.
Injuries, team form, weather forecasts, and coaching strategies can all shift this market as the game nears. Key player availability may cause sharp movements if a star is ruled out or returns. Additionally, broader narrative shifts — such as recent performance trends or media coverage — often influence trader sentiment. As Aug 2, 2026 approaches, any last-second announcements or changes in stadium conditions could produce notable swings in the odds, reflecting updated expectations from participants.