TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 2:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between AD Tarma and Club Universitario de Deportes, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AD Tarma" if AD Tarma score more goals than Club Universitario de Deportes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AD Tarma and Club Universitario de Deportes score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Universitario de Deportes" if Club Universitario de Deportes score more goals than AD Tarma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game between AD Tarma and Club Universitario de Deportes, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AD Tarma" if AD Tarma score more goals than Club Universitario de Deportes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if AD Tarma and Club Universitario de Deportes score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Club Universitario de Deportes" if Club Universitario de Deportes score more goals than AD Tarma in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and real-money risk. This market aggregates the collective judgment of thousands of participants with direct financial stakes, which can reveal sharper or earlier signals than traditional betting lines. Comparing the two can highlight where public perception and expert pricing disagree, though both sources offer valuable perspectives on the likely second-half outcome.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on the second-half result, and the current price reflects the marginal trader's willingness to buy or sell at that level. As more capital flows into one outcome, the price moves higher; conversely, selling pressure drives it lower. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and participant conviction throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the second half of the AD Tarma vs. Club Universitario match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the official final score or result as confirmed by the relevant sports authority or widely recognized reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution timing depends on when the match ends and the result is officially recorded.
Several catalysts can shift prices in this market before it closes. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp repricing. First-half performance and momentum carry significant weight; a strong opening half by one side typically strengthens its second-half odds. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head patterns may also influence trader positioning. As kickoff approaches, late money and professional sharp action can create volatility. Real-time match events, such as early goals or red cards, will drive the most dramatic price swings once play begins.