TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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AD Sporting Hortaleza vs. AU Güímar
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of AD Sporting Hortaleza vs. AU Güímar?

Volume:
$8,071

AD Sporting Hortaleza

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 8:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

AD Sporting Hortaleza

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,004
N/A
N/A
$3,856
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AD Sporting Hortaleza

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atletico Union Guimar

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,074
N/A
N/A
$1,859
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,823
N/A
N/A
$1,792
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (AD Sporting Hortaleza vs. AU Güímar)

0%
82%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

AU Güímar

0%
82%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a Copa del Rey soccer match between AD Sporting Hortaleza and AU Güímar, scheduled for September 27, 2026. Markets ask whether either team will win or if the match will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets utilize the same core resolution criteria, focusing on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time and employing a consistent source hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (specifically, https://www.rfef.es/ as cited by Polymarket).

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, win markets resolve 'No' and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.
  • A tiered source hierarchy is used for resolution: official sources first, then Flashscore, Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official data is unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data is used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the completion of the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or after the governing body officially declares the match canceled, and within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if relying on secondary data sources.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Sunday, September 27, 2026 between AD Sporting Hortaleza and AU Güímar.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the AD Sporting Hortaleza vs Atletico Union Guimar professional Copa del Rey soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026. There are three possible outcomes: AD Sporting Hortaleza wins, Atletico Union Guimar wins, or the match ends in a tie—all determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. Each market corresponds to one of the three possible results, with the 'Tie' market resolving positively if the game concludes evenly within the specified time frame.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Sporting Hortaleza vs. Güímar match. Currently, the consensus view suggests a strong probability of one outcome, though opinions vary across platforms. Total volume for this market is $8,071, with $8,070 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive view of market sentiment, combining insights from multiple prediction venues into a single, easily accessible location. The dashboard visualizes the probabilities as estimated by traders on both Polymarket and Kalshi.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets are driven by actual money at stake, incentivizing participants to be as accurate as possible. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. However, both types of odds aim to accurately represent the probability of an event occurring, and often converge as the event approaches. This market's odds may differ from those offered by sportsbooks due to varying information and analytical approaches.