Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 23, 2026, with identical treatment of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from DIMAYOR (Colombian football governing body) or credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours post-match.
Core resolution logic:
AD Pasto win market resolves YES if and only if AD Pasto wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO otherwise or if game is canceled.
Draw market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up.
Independiente Santa Fe win market resolves YES if and only if Santa Fe wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves NO otherwise or if game is canceled.
Exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (win, loss, or draw outcome is mutually exclusive).
All three markets remain open if the game is postponed until the match is completed.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up scheduled, the AD Pasto win and Santa Fe win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all three markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary source is official DIMAYOR statistics. If unavailable within 2 hours post-match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official announcement of the final match result by DIMAYOR or credible reporting consensus, within 2 hours after match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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