TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of AD Marco 09 vs FC Maia Lidador?

Volume:
$6,112

Reg Time: AD Marco 09

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 2:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: AD Marco 09

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,622
N/A
N/A
$3,616
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AD Marco 09

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,211
N/A
N/A
$1,211
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (AD Marco 09 vs. FC Maia Lidador)

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Maia Lidador

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,021
N/A
N/A
$842
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Maia Lidador

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between AD Marco 09 and FC Maia Lidador, scheduled for September 20, 2026, as part of the Taca de Portugal. Markets exist for AD Marco 09 winning, FC Maia Lidador winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No' while Kalshi lacks a clear cancellation rule.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as a cancellation could lead to prolonged market openness or ambiguous resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable within 24 hours. Considers only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit rule for game cancellations; implicitly requires a completed game to determine a winner or draw.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Taca de Portugal game, scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026 between AD Marco 09 and FC Maia Lidador.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the AD Marco 09 vs Maia Lidador professional Taca de Portugal soccer match scheduled for September 20, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for AD Marco 09, a win for Maia Lidador, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' outcome resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring that all possible scenarios—including disruptions—are accounted for in the final determination.