TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:07 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AD Ceuta FC and Real Sociedad de Fútbol B, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AD Ceuta FC" if AD Ceuta FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol B" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol B are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AD Ceuta FC and Real Sociedad de Fútbol B, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AD Ceuta FC" if AD Ceuta FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Real Sociedad de Fútbol B" if Real Sociedad de Fútbol B are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals wagering their own capital. Consequently, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information access, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s useful to compare both to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether AD Ceuta FC or Real Sociedad de Fútbol B will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B match. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the match’s events. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 26, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either AD Ceuta FC or Real Sociedad de Fútbol B would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, might also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.